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You look at the racing form and your eyes dart all over the page as you
attempt to process all the information. You attempt to make sense of all the
cryptic letters and numbers hoping to find one key that will tell you which
horse is going to run better today based upon how it has run in the past.
Suddenly you see in bold the speed figures from the horse's last race.
"Now this makes sense!" you say to yourself. "This IS a horse race after all
and the fastest horse should win every time!"
If it was only that simple, my friend. Although many feel that it IS that
simple. A high Beyer Speed Figure in a horse's past performance should tell
us that this horse is faster than a horse with a lower figure, right. Many
base their bets solely upon this premise and soon realize that there is much
more to being a good punter than just picking the highest number under the
heading of speed. But what other variables might skew this almighty
indicator of success in horse racing?
Track Bias and Condition - Perhaps in a horse's last race at this or another
track where his speed number was so superior he got a good post position. It
could be that the track was slow or muddy and he was able to get in front
and along the rail at the beginning of the race and hold the lead from wire
to wire. The poor horses behind him had a bad trip with mud being quite
literally thrown in their faces or having to go outside and around to avoid
the mud thus giving our horse a far superior finishing time in comparison to
those in the back of the pack.
Fitness - Perhaps we need to dig a little deeper in our handicapping and
evaluation of this horse and see how often he had been run just previous to
the race with the high Beyer Speed Figure. Had he just come off a three
month rest? Had he been raced only once or twice since his rest and is he on
the same schedule as today's race? Is he as fit as he was on that day? Does
his recent daily workout show that he still has that speed in comparison?
Jockey - Is our horse being ridden by the same jockey as he was in his last
race or the race where he showed all that speed? Perhaps the horse likes
this particular jockey or perhaps the jockey knows how to get the best out
of this particular horse?...knows his running style or his likes and
dislikes such as where the horse likes to run and where he won't run well.
Is this jockey successful and does his or her winning percentage show that?
These are only a few of the hundreds of things that one should take into
consideration when handicapping a race. Yes, speed is important and a horse
lacking in it holds little chance of being competitive but a hundred things
can and will go wrong along the course of a race that will affect how a
horse runs. This is what makes horse raRebranding Racing Initial
Recommendations
The solutions have yet to be properly worked out, though the media
consultants Harrison Fraser has identified some areas to work on.
Identifying the top fixtures and clarifying jockeys' and trainers'
championships.
Please do not create those awful 'football / racing' challenges. This may
appeal to the more casual punter but it severely puts off the core racing
punter.
Brand identity and web portal.
Good idea but please do not create some cute My Little Pony mascot.
Stakeholder engagement - getting everyone onside.
Yes, including the biggest stakeholder in racing - the one who puts up the
stakes - the PUNTERS.
There is a distinct lack of representation from the punters group (probably
because there is no official, or unofficial punters group).
Punters need to be represented. This would be for not only issues affecting
racing (going racing: admission charges, prices charged for burger and
chips, viewing access) but also for betting.
There is an image of punter arbitration being on the side of the bookmaker.
This has to change and there has to be a body representing the punter else
few new punters will want to get involved in racing, and few previous
punters will return.
The raceday experience - improving quality for spectators.
Absolutely! The admission prices are too high at some courses and some of
the food policies are like a cartel. No course should ban punters for
bringing in their own food, or force punters with their own food to sit away
from all the action.
Any family or new racegoer seeing such fighting has their raceday experience
soured and NEVER returns to a racecourse again.cing so exciting and
handicapping such a delightful challenge!
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